The 2025 football season is entering its final stretch, and one of the burning questions dominating football conversations around the globe is: what possible chances do Arsenal still have in the 2025 Champions title race? From dramatic comebacks to tactical brilliance, Arsenal’s campaign has been nothing short of a rollercoaster. But as the race tightens, fans, pundits, and rivals alike are questioning whether the Gunners can truly go all the way.
In this comprehensive analysis, we’ll explore Arsenal’s current standing in the Champions League and Premier League title races, break down their form, fixtures, squad depth, key players, injuries, and tactical approach, and evaluate their real chances of lifting silverware in 2025.
Arsenal’s Journey So Far in the 2025 Season
Arsenal entered the 2025 season with high expectations, buoyed by their impressive 2024 campaign and a few high-profile summer signings. Under the stewardship of Mikel Arteta, the team has evolved into a dynamic blend of youth and experience, flair and discipline. With their aggressive pressing style and technical midfield dominance, the Gunners quickly became serious contenders.
As of April 2025, Arsenal remain within touching distance of the top spot in the Premier League and have advanced to the semi-finals of the UEFA Champions League. But what possible chances do Arsenal still have in the 2025 Champions title race? That depends on several crucial factors we’ll examine next.
1. Arsenal’s Premier League Title Race: Still in It?
Current Standing and Points Gap
Arsenal currently sit second in the Premier League, just two points behind league leaders Manchester City. With four matches left to play, the title race is as tight as ever. Crucially, Arsenal still have to play two mid-table teams and one relegation-threatened side, suggesting a favorable run-in.
Head-to-Head vs. Rivals
Their recent 2–2 draw against Liverpool showcased resilience but also exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Against City earlier in the season, Arsenal suffered a narrow 1–0 defeat, but they’ve since rebounded with commanding performances against other top-six sides.
Title Probability
Statistical models from FiveThirtyEight and Opta give Arsenal a 32–38% chance of winning the league — not the highest, but far from out of contention. If Manchester City or Liverpool slip up even once, the door opens wide for Arteta’s men.
2. The Champions League Title Race: Arsenal’s Brightest Hope?
While domestic glory is within reach, the Champions League remains Arsenal’s most coveted prize. The club hasn’t won it in its history — the closest being the heartbreaking 2006 final loss to Barcelona. But this year feels different.
Path to the Semifinals
Arsenal defeated Bayern Munich 4–3 on aggregate in the quarter-finals — a result that sent shockwaves through Europe. Bukayo Saka, Martin Ødegaard, and Declan Rice were instrumental, showcasing Arsenal’s ability to go toe-to-toe with elite European sides.
Upcoming Opponents
In the semifinals, Arsenal face Inter Milan — a side with strong defensive organization and counter-attacking prowess. On paper, it’s a 50-50 matchup, but Arsenal’s attacking depth and midfield control could tilt the tie in their favor.
Champions League Title Chances
According to UEFA’s official projection and fan polls, Arsenal have a 27% chance of winning the Champions League, trailing only behind Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain. However, momentum, morale, and form could easily shift these odds.
3. Key Players Influencing Arsenal’s 2025 Title Chances
When evaluating what possible chances Arsenal still have in the 2025 Champions title race, it’s crucial to consider the performances of their star players.
Bukayo Saka – The Undisputed Star
Saka has been in sublime form, contributing 15 goals and 12 assists in all competitions. His creativity, vision, and finishing have given Arsenal a much-needed edge in tight contests.
Declan Rice – Midfield General
Rice has proven to be the signing of the season. His box-to-box presence, defensive coverage, and leadership make him indispensable. He’s been pivotal in both disrupting opposition attacks and initiating forward movements.
William Saliba and Gabriel – Defensive Backbone
Arsenal’s centre-back pairing has matured into one of Europe’s finest. Their chemistry, aerial dominance, and composure under pressure are major reasons why Arsenal still have a strong chance in both the league and Champions League races.
4. Tactical Evolution Under Mikel Arteta
High Pressing and Positional Fluidity
Arteta’s philosophy emphasizes high pressing, intelligent off-the-ball movement, and maintaining possession in dangerous areas. This season, Arsenal’s average possession sits at 62%, and they rank among the top three for high turnovers in Europe.
Formation Tweaks
Arsenal have used a 4-3-3 and a more compact 3-2-4-1 depending on opposition and availability. Arteta’s adaptability allows them to control games and make effective in-game changes — a vital asset in knockout competitions.
5. Injuries and Squad Depth: The Biggest Threat to Arsenal’s Chances
Despite strong performances, injuries remain a potential stumbling block.
Injury Report
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Gabriel Jesus: In and out with a knee concern.
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Takehiro Tomiyasu: Ruled out for the rest of the season.
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Thomas Partey: Continues to battle fitness issues.
Fortunately, Arsenal’s bench strength has improved. Leandro Trossard, Emile Smith Rowe, and Jorginho offer solid options when starters need rest.
Squad Rotation and Fitness
In recent months, Arteta has managed rotations more effectively than in past campaigns. With weekly games now more common, fatigue management is critical — especially as the Champions League semifinals loom.
6. Upcoming Fixtures: Can Arsenal Maintain Momentum?
Let’s assess Arsenal’s upcoming matches in both competitions:
Premier League Fixtures:
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vs. Aston Villa (Home) – Tricky, but winnable.
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vs. Brighton (Away) – Potential banana skin.
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vs. Bournemouth (Home) – Must win.
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vs. Everton (Away) – Could be decisive.
Champions League Fixtures:
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Semifinal vs. Inter Milan (Home and Away) – A tough two-legged tie, but Arsenal have the attacking arsenal to succeed.
If Arsenal win their remaining Premier League matches and Inter are overcome, it sets up a potential final clash against Real Madrid or PSG — a test of nerves and tactical genius.
7. Historical Context: Is This Arsenal’s Best Chance Since the Invincibles?
The term “Invincibles” harks back to the legendary 2003–04 season, when Arsenal went unbeaten in the Premier League. This 2025 squad, while different in style, is similar in ambition and grit.
Back then, names like Henry, Vieira, and Bergkamp were immortalized. Today, Saka, Rice, and Ødegaard are building their own legacies. Though the unbeaten feat hasn’t been matched, the current season offers Arsenal fans their best shot at European glory.
8. Fan Sentiment and Psychological Edge
Emirates Atmosphere
The Emirates has transformed into a fortress. Home games are electric, and fans are increasingly confident. This psychological boost has often pushed Arsenal through tight matches.
Mental Strength
Unlike past squads that faltered under pressure, the 2025 Arsenal team has repeatedly shown mental resilience — bouncing back from setbacks and delivering in clutch moments.
9. Managerial Influence: Mikel Arteta’s Defining Season
This could be the season that cements Arteta’s legacy at the Emirates. His tactical growth, emotional intelligence, and bold decisions have guided Arsenal to the brink of greatness.
Arteta’s long-term vision is finally manifesting on the pitch. Winning either the Premier League or Champions League — or both — would validate his process and silence any lingering doubters.
10. So, What Possible Chances Do Arsenal Still Have in the 2025 Champions Title Race?
Let’s summarize:
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Premier League Title: Still highly possible, dependent on consistency and City/Liverpool results.
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Champions League Title: Very much alive, with the semifinal being the biggest hurdle.
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Squad Form: Peaking at the right time with Saka, Ødegaard, and Rice firing.
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Managerial Leadership: Arteta has developed into a world-class tactician.
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Tactical Depth: Arsenal can adapt to various opponents, both home and away.
In essence, the answer to the question “what possible chances do Arsenal still have in the 2025 Champions title race?” is — very real and very promising.
While nothing is guaranteed in football, Arsenal fans have every reason to dream big in 2025. If form holds, injuries are managed, and tactical execution remains sharp, the Gunners could be lifting silverware come season’s end.
Are Arsenal on the verge of ending their European drought? Or will familiar demons haunt them once more?
Only time will tell — but for now, the red half of North London dares to believe.
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